The
likelihood that Ron Paul will not be a
contender in the general election is not an encouraging prospect. The debates
between President Obama and Governor Romney are likely to focus on rhetorical
rather than substantive disagreements.
Where there are significant policy differences, neither party will be
able to claim a mandate given the nature and rules of the US Senate.
The most
likely outcome of this campaign is an Obama victory given the fact that many of
Ron Paul’s followers will vote for Gary Johnson or write in Ron Paul. I would like for that to be encouraging since
I voted for Obama and support much of the agenda his rhetoric espouses (at
least as we get closer to election time). However, I do not believe that much
will change during Obama 2.
If Obama is
reelected, 2016 will have a about two dozen candidates to choose from. Surely
there will be at least one or two libertarian candidates in the Republican
field and a similar number among progressive Democrats. This makes it even less
likely that a either a libertarian or a progressive will be nominated since the
coalition needed to get close will not be available during the primaries and
caucuses.
I would
therefore propose that the top progressive Democrat and the top libertarian
Republican should get together for an independent run not long after Super
Tuesday.
In
anticipation of this trans-partisan ticket several conferences in a variety of
locales ought to be convened for the purpose of building a coalition among
cultural conservatives, libertarians and progressives.
I add the first of these three because they are as much victims of corporatism as the other two. Even though
they are more theologically disposed to supporting such political
sadomasochism, we should not give up hope that cultural conservatives will see
the light, that libertarians and progressives threaten their values much less
than do corporatists.
Participants
in such conferences ought to be encouraged to create and consider legislative
proposals which bridge their ideological divides in the most mutually
empowering ways. The goal need not be creating a new party or political
synthesis (although such an outcome might be very much welcomed). These conferences ought to aim at composing a
coalition platform and recruiting congressional candidates to support it. Before
the midterm primaries we ought to agree to a list of candidates to endorse at
least at the federal level.
When we
compile this list we are likely to find candidates from both major parties, alternate parties and among the growing non-aligned. While such candidates may
have good reasons to stay with their current affiliation, they should be
encouraged to register to run in the most opportune primary. Additionally
voters among the coalition should be encouraged to register to vote for the
candidates in their respective districts who endorse the coalition platform.
What we most want to avoid is running two coalition candidates in the same race.
Diluting the vote is a sure way to undermine our cause. Caution should be taken
to ferret out posers working in conscious or unconscious concert with establishment parties and
campaigns.
It is
unlikely that we would get a large number of candidates who would endorse a
coalition platform, but where they are found they should receive ample support
locally and nationally, taking care to match candidate with districts more
likely to go coalition. This may or may not be a swing district. It is more
likely that we stand our best chances in districts without an incumbent in the
race. A shorter list of candidates also means that resources can be more
focused.
Avoiding the
typical wedge issues as litmus tests is essential. Whether a candidate is pro
life or pro choice should be tertiary in importance, considered mostly for
demographic fit. Emphasis should be placed on issues of debt, jobs, war, peace,
and civil liberties.
Here's the basic theme for this coalition to contrast with the duopoly's corporate platform: The corporate establishment believes that war means more jobs and they would be right except that the jobs of war create more costly destruction. Peace frees up money to pay down debt and invest in the infrastructure of a green economy. A green economy is a life giving economy which reduces costs and frees up more money for more debt reduction, savings and spending.
Here's the basic theme for this coalition to contrast with the duopoly's corporate platform: The corporate establishment believes that war means more jobs and they would be right except that the jobs of war create more costly destruction. Peace frees up money to pay down debt and invest in the infrastructure of a green economy. A green economy is a life giving economy which reduces costs and frees up more money for more debt reduction, savings and spending.
This message
and platform could evolve over time into a new synthesis but that should not be
the aim, at least not before we are successful in overthrowing the corporate
beast. My guess is we will eventually move forward not to a post-partisan era
but toward a multi-partisan mix of competition, cooperation and transitory coalitions.
Making this
plan before grieving the current loss may be unrealistic but we must head off
the easy and much expected tribal reactions. Corporatism has won this battle; they can only win the war if they keep this coalition from happening. Their
ultimate goal is just enough stability to keep those on the
edge hopeful, afraid and powerless.
I'd like to try again to bust their agenda if anyone is interested in doing what it takes rather than retreating to our tribal sects.
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