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Thursday, January 26, 2012

The Ron Paul campaign has decided not make this a 50 state contest but rather to focus in on states where winning is easier and finishing 1st or 2nd is more likely. This strategy focuses mainly on caucus state where candidates with an enthusiastic base of support tend to do better and where often delegates favorable to one candidate can be elected in numbers that exceed the percentage of votes for that candidate.

The caucus strategy implicitly acknowledges that Ron Paul cannot win the nomination. Why then continue to run? Perhaps Ron Paul and/or his campaign staff believe that he can influence the platform  and the eventual nominee or that a good showing  this time will put Rand Paul into position to be vice president next time. Maybe Ron Paul believes his campaign to be mainly educational to prepare the party to make the changes necessary to garner a new generation of voters.

Regardless of Paul or his campaign's motives, his followers seem to be in this to win and besides the goals of education, influence and expansion are better served by a victory or something close to it. Prioritizing the winning of delegates over votes is a sure way to lose the race for both.

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